Obviously, this is a good matchup for both teams. However, the running backs project to be the biggest beneficiaries.
Barring injury, Steven Jackson owners are going to be very glad they drafted him with their first-round pick after this game.
Just like we did for last week’s projections, 2009 statistics factor in significantly but Week 1 provides added depth. Again, this is no perfect model. There are many improvements that could be made but we had relatively good accuracy with it last week despite the flaws. Translation: Use these at your own discretion but they should be pretty darn good.
The numbers say the Rams win 21-17, but either team could lose this game.
The Raiders and Rams are both terrible against the run. Neither team is particularly stout against the pass either, but one notable matchup in the pass game comes from Nnamdi Asomugha. The Raiders cornerback should take the Rams best threat (Mark Clayton last week) out of the equation.
It’ll be interesting to see if Jason Campbell picks a favorite target this week or if he spreads it to 10 receivers again.
Michael Bush had screws put in his thumb 20 days ago, but has practiced in full this week and is listed as questionable for the game. If he plays and how the team shares touches with Darren McFadden (who was very effective last week) will be one of the most important storylines in this game.
FYI: I don’t feel at all good about the receiver projections. It feels like Mardy Gilyard or Darrius Heyward-Bey are going to come out of nowhere for big games.
Jason Campbell, OAK: 20-35, 218, TD, INT, Campbell, 5 rush yards
Sam Bradford, STL: 20-33, 195, TD, INT, 5 rush yards
Steven Jackson, STL: 135, TD; 4 catches, 30 receiving yards
Darren McFadden, OAK: 65, TD, 5 catches, 45 receiving yards
Michael Bush, OAK: 40 yards
Michael Bennett, OAK: 5 yards
Laurent Robinson, STL: 4-75, TD
Mark Clayton, STL: 6-60
Louis Murphy, OAK: 4-55
Danny Amendola, STL: 5-40
Darrius Heyward-Bey, OAK: 3-20
Chaz Schilens, OAK: 1-10
Johnnie Lee Higgins, OAK: 1-10
Jacoby Ford, OAK: 1-5
Mardy Gilyard, STL: 1-5
Zach Miller, OAK: 6-75
Daniel Fells, STL: 1-5
Josh Brown, STL: FG, 2 XP
Sebastian Janikowski, OAK: FG, 2 XP
Rams: 3 sacks, INT
Raiders: 2 sacks, INT