The Saints are defending world champions, straight off a victory against their toughest foe of 2009. The expected-to-be-promising-but-ultimately-disappointing 49ers were a sham of a team against the Seahawks in Week 1.
These two teams play each other this week in San Francisco. Fantasy football shenanigans are sure to ensue.
Just like we did for last week’s projections, 2009 statistics factor in significantly but Week 1 provides added depth. Again, this is no perfect model. There are many improvements that could be made but we had relatively good accuracy with it last week despite the flaws. Translation: Use these at your own discretion but they should be pretty darn good.
It’s a walk: Saints have the largest projected win margin this week, 24-14.
Drew Brees against everybody? Need I say more? Dude rips teams up. However, while Matt Hasselbeck had two touchdown passes against the 49ers, he threw for less than 180 yards. The 49ers defense also only gave up 77 yards on the ground.
Look for Brees to spread the ball around again, he completed 27 passes to 9 different receivers last week, limiting the value of his receivers.
There is only one huge advantage for players based on previous statistical analysis. That advantage goes to Vernon Davis, who had to be a pleasant man watching film of Visanthe Shiancoe torch the Saints last week.
Drew Brees, NO: 23-32, 225, TD, INT
Alex Smith, SF: 20-35, 203, TD, INT
Pierre Thomas, NO: 70 yards, TD, 1 catch, 10 receiving yards
Frank Gore, SF: 80 yards, 3 catches, 35 receiving yards
Reggie Bush, NO: 35 yards, 4 catches, 40 receiving yards
Brian Westbrook, SF: 10 yards, 1 catch, 5 receiving yards
Marques Colston, NO: 6-75, TD
Devery Henderson, NO: 3-55
Josh Morgan, SF: 5-40
Lance Moore, NO: 3-25
Robert Meachem, NO: 3-10
Vernon Davis, SF: 8-90, TD
Jeremy Shockey, NO: 3-15
David Thomas, NO: 1-5
Garrett Hartley, NO: FG, 3 XP
Joe Nedney, SF: FG, XP
Saints: 2 sacks, INT (feeling a KR/PR/DEF TD here)
49ers: 2 sacks, INT