Week 3 fantasy football preview with projections: Bills at Patriots

It seems ludicrous, but there is no better time to roll Ryan Fitzpatrick out as a starting quarterback than against division rival New England.

Sure, the Patriots are the Patriots, but Mark Sanchez and the 607-carries-in-2009 Jets threw for 220 yards and three touchdowns against that young secondary. The Bills are looking for a spark and even playing well against a foe like New England is enough.

Will Fitzpatrick be a fantasy star this week? You don’t need to read on to know the answer to that one, but there are plenty of other projections that await.

Our projection model is not perfect. There are many improvements that could be made, but we had relatively good accuracy with it this season despite the flaws. Translation: Use these at your own discretion but they should be pretty darn good.

Other game previews: PIT@TB | CLE@BAL | TEN@NYG | SF@KC | DAL@HOU | BUF@NE | DET@MIN | CIN@CAR | ATL@NO | WAS@STL | PHI@JAX | OAK@ARI | IND@DEN | SD@SEA | NYJ@MIA | GB@CHI

Week 3 content | Chinstrap Ninjas Fantasy Football Contest: Week 3

Patriots take a 25-17 win based on the projections.

Matchups

Randy Moss made one of the best catches I have ever seen last week, beating Darrelle Revis so bad, that the Jets CB pulled up lame. Still, the Bills have not been a great matchup for opposing wide receivers. Running backs and tight ends on the other hand.

On the other side… Hey, if you make Braylon Edwards look good, even for one catch, it says something about your off-course defense.

One other note: Lee Evans didn’t have a catch last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick, he needs to have a catch if you want to have offense.

Projections

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady, NE: 21-45, 234, TD, INT

Ryan Fitzpatrick, BUF: 20-32, 195, TD, INT, 5 rush yards

Running backs

Fred Taylor, NE: 70 yards, TD, 1 catch, 5 receiving yards

Marshawn Lynch, BUF: 60 yards

C.J. Spiller, BUF: 30 yards, 3 catches, 15 yards

BenJarvus Green-Ellis, NE: 25 yards

Fred Jackson, BUF: 10 yards, 1 catch, 5 yards

Sammy Morris, NE: 15 yards, 2 catches 10 yards

Wide receivers

Randy Moss, NE: 5-80, TD

Lee Evans, BUF: 7-85, TD

Wes Welker, NE: 7-60

Steve Johnson, BUF: 5-55

Roscoe Parrish, BUF: 3-20

Brandon Tate, NE: 1-10

Julian Edelman, NE: 1-5

Tight ends

Aaron Hernandez, NE: 4-60

David Nelson, BUF: 2-20

Rob Gronkowski, NE: 1-5

Kickers

Stephen Gostkowski, NE: FG, 3 XPs

Rian Lindell, BUF: FG, 2 XPs

Defenses

Patriots: 2 sacks, INT

Bills: Sack, INT

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