In case you didn’t notice, the Bills pulled to within a touchdown and a two-point conversion from beating the Patriots with 4:08 to play in a high-scoring affair last week.
Whether that was poor play from the Patriots defense or the Bills’ newfound Ryan Fitzpatrick-ness has yet to be determined. We’ll get a good idea this week. As vaunted as the Jets defense is, it’s been relatively squishy against opposing passing attacks this season. Interesting projections for this Jets-Bills tilt in Buffalo.
Our projection model is not perfect. There are many improvements that could be made, but we have been relatively good at predicting players’ good weeks. Translation: Use these at your own discretion but they should be pretty darn good.
Other fantasy football previews with projections: CIN@CLE | DEN@TEN | CAR@NO | BAL@PIT | NYJ@BUF | SEA@STL | SF@ATL | DET@GB | HOU@OAK | IND@JAX | WAS@PHI | ARI@SD | CHI@NYG | NE@MIA (Teams on bye: DAL, KC, MIN, TB)
The Jets new super passing offense is expected to prevail by more than 10 points, 27.6-16.4, but those projections can’t include the Fitzpatrick factor.
You want awesome matchups? How about this one: Dustin Keller has 13 catches, 213 yards and three TDs in the last two weeks. He goes up against a defense that gave up 100 yards to JerMichael Finley two weeks ago and gave up nine catches and 108 yards to the Patriots tight ends last week.
You want another? Mark Sanchez has thrown for 476 and six TDs in the last two weeks. The Bills have allowed 507-5 over the same stretch.
One more interesting note: The Jets defense is a better matchup for opposing wide receivers right now than the Bills are.
Mark Sanchez, NYJ: 18-28, 216, 2 TD
Ryan Fitzpatrick, BUF: 19-33, 228, TD, INT, 5 rush yards
LaDainian Tomlinson, NYJ: 90 yards, TD, 3 catches, 20 receiving yards
Marshawn Lynch, BUF: 60 yards, 1 catch, 5 receiving yards
Shonn Greene, NYJ: 40 yards, 1 catch, 5 receiving yards
C.J. Spiller, BUF: 10 yards, 4 cathces, 40 receiving yards
Fred Jackson, BUF: 20 yards, 1 catch, 5 receiving yards
Braylon Edwards, NYJ: 4-60, TD
Roscoe Parrish, BUF: 4-75
Steve Johnson, BUF: 3-50
Lee Evans, BUF: 3-40, TD
Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ: 3-25
Brad Smith, NYJ: 3-35, 10 rush yards
Dustin Keller, NYJ: 6-85, TD
Jonathan Stupar, BUF: 3-15
Nick Folk, NYJ: 2 FG, 3 XP
Rian Lindell, BUF: FG, 2 XP
Jets: 2 sacks, INT