2016 Draft Kit

Week 8 wide receiver 1 matchups: Sleepers and busts

A different method was used to put together this week’s matchups.

The lists start with Football Outsiders’ excellent Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average. After comparing DVOA, yards per game and receptions per game and all of the multiple variants that can be made with those three statistics, it became clear DVOA was a statistic that should play a part in our rankings.

Next, I went to fantasy points allowed charts over at FFtoday.com and added them to the list. So teams whose FFPG against conflict with DVOA have been removed from the ranking.

As I mentioned last week, these matchups are essentially boom or bust start/sit rankings.

Week 8 matchups: PASS RUN WR1 | WR2 | WR3/4 | TE | RB (rec.)

Wide receiver 1 matchups for Week 8:

Top matchups

Greg Jennings vs. Tampa Bay — Cordarrelle Patterson led the Vikings in wide receiver snap count through the first three weeks of the season, but Jennings has led the way since and now leads the team for the season. The Buccaneers allow 31.4 fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers and this is a plus-plus matchup according to DVOA.

Jordy Nelson vs. New Orleans — Shudder.

Dez Bryant vs. Washington — Shudder (again).

Mike Wallace vs. Jacksonville

Kendall Wright vs. Houston

Doug Baldwin vs. Carolina — I drafted Baldwin because I thought he could have a breakout season. With Percy Harvin out of town for a full week and a great matchup I’ll be interested to see how Seattle uses him. Carolina’s 28 points per game allowed to wide receivers is the third highest total in 2014.

Eric Decker vs. Buffalo — Wide receiver is one of the toughest positions for a traded player to adjust at in mid-season. Playbook schemes and terminology can vary. Still, with Harvin as a potential decoy Decker could have a monster game.

Golden Tate vs. Atlanta

Bad matchups

Julio Jones vs. Detroit — Jones is matchup-proof but I feel like his ceiling will be limited. The Lions have the top defense according to DVOA and have allowed just 16.6 points to opposing wide receivers.

Antonio Brown vs. Indianapolis — The Colts allow just 15.7 fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and are the second best defense against WR1 according to DVOA.

Kelvin Benjamin vs. Seattle

Torrey Smith vs. Cincinnati

Pierre Garcon vs. Dallas

Denver played on Thursday

Julian Edelman vs. Chicago

Brian Quick vs. Kansas City

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