We should have high confidence in these matchups.
We’re only talking about matchups that meet good/bad matchup criteria for the whole season, the last five weeks and the last three weeks. If a matchup doesn’t fit in all three categories, then it has to have a significant number in the last-five-weeks and last-three-weeks.
The players are ordered based on season-long adjusted fantasy points allowed. The numbers next to the names are fantasy points allowed by position and the NFL rank in that category in the last five weeks. For receivers we’ve included the yards the defense has allowed per game to that receiver type.
Top WR3/4 matchups
Marqise Lee vs. Baltimore — 60.1 yards, 3rd
Derek Hagan vs. New York Jets — 59.1 yards, 4th
Wes Welker vs. San Diego — 57.1 yards, 6th
Louis Murphy vs. Carolina — 56.2 yards, 7th
Markus Wheaton vs. Atlanta — 55.4 yards, 8th — It would be too crazy to start every Steelers wide receiver this week, but not starting Ben Roethlisberger and a receiver or two would be a mistake.
Worst WR3/4 matchups
Brandon Tate vs. Cleveland — 31.2 yards, 1st
Jeremy Ross/Corey Fuller vs. Minnesota — 32.5 yards, 2nd
Stevie Johnson/Brandon Lloyd vs. Seattle — 32.8 yards, 3rd
Brian Hartline vs. New England — 35.9 yards, 5th
Andre Roberts/Leonard Hankderson vs. New York Giants — 39.7 yards, 9th