August 16th, 2016 --- Written by ep
In my initial post in this series, I reminded you why I like ADP so much.
It is one of the most revealing tools in our arsenal.
This next portion of the top 120 gives us more examples why the zero-RB strategy works so well. There are a pile of good options in here. There are also some extremely talented quarterbacks on this list, backing up the wait-on-QB strategy as well.
Continue reading ‘Fantasy football ADP rankings and analysis: Top 120 (81-100)’
August 15th, 2016 --- Written by ep
It’s insane how few player rankings out there include player age in them.
This should be a vital part of your decision-making process, regardless of your league type. The bottom line is that if you value a 27-year-old quarterback and a 37-year-old quarterback evenly, you should go with the 27-year-old every time because he’s less prone to injury and less likely to experience age-related regression.
Looking up the ages for every darn player you rank is kind of grueling, but it’s worth it in the long run. Luckily for you, Ninja, I’ve done the leg work for you.
I’ve got 45 quarterbacks for you here. Yes, there’s more on the full list, but these are standard redraft rankings. Chances are your league has 12 teams and most owners aren’t even going to take three quarterbacks let alone four. Those guys not on the list should probably be on the waiver wire until something changes.
Continue reading ‘2016 fantasy football rankings: quarterbacks’
August 12th, 2016 --- Written by ep
Longtime readers know I consider average draft position a critical weapon in our fantasy draft arsenal.
ADP tells us who’s being picked where, and from that we can discern how other players and the entire industry is thinking. This allows us when we should target our sleepers and figure out when that big-name actually becomes too good a value to pass up.
This is the first in a series of ADP rankings. In these articles I’ll look at where players are going and whether they provide good, great or little value at the position where most of the industry is selecting them.
Continue reading ‘Fantasy football ADP rankings and analysis: Top 120 (101-120)’
August 11th, 2016 --- Written by ep
Position scarcity has been a buzz phrase in this industry for as long as I’ve been playing.
In this case scarcity refers to a drop-off in talent. There will be plenty of wide receivers on an NFL field this season, but many of them won’t be worth rostering.
Figuring out which position has the widest gap in talent gives you a considerable edge on draft and/or auction day.
For years, fantasy owners have touted the wait-on-quarterbacks mentality. It works, plain and simple. We like to zig when everyone else zags here at Chinstrap Ninjas. But don’t ever zig too soon in this case. It’s not worth it. There are just too many quarterbacks available to make picking one early a good investment
Continue reading ‘Position scarcity: How many wide receivers do you need?’
August 1st, 2016 --- Written by ep
I’ve said it before, I’ll say it again, I’m not a huge fan of strength of schedule.
However, SoS was one of my starting points last year and I had a pretty fantastic year in 2015. So here we are with strength of schedule.
I do think our strength of schedule goes a bit beyond the norm. We use Football Outsiders’ advanced metric Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, or DVOA.
Continue reading ‘2016 fantasy football strength of schedule using DVOA’
July 31st, 2016 --- Written by ep
If we get out our field glasses we can see the start of the 2016 fantasy football season.
For some of us, a primer on July 31 or Aug. 1 is laughable. We’ve been diligently studying stats, running mock drafts and turning on Twitter notifications for our favorite NFL and fantasy writers.
But before Chinstrap Ninjas delves deep into 2016, I felt it necessary to discuss a few key points about last season, this season and the industry as a whole.
Continue reading ‘2016 fantasy football primer: 7 lessons to set you on the path to a title’
December 26th, 2015 --- Written by ep
I’ve spent most of my time this week trying to put together the best championship lineups in season long, but that doesn’t mean I’m going to avoid daily fantasy. Next week there could be some big names in big games taking weeks off. There could be players getting starts because teams want to see what they have for the future.
For the same reason season-long leagues usually hold their championships in Week 16, this will be the last week I consider playing cash games.
Continue reading ‘Week 16 Draft Kings sleepers and values’