March 4th, 2015 --- Written by ep
Time is of the essence once again today.
I’m not going to bore you with a long introduction.
As always, check lineups and player news prior to tipoff because you can’t survive with a 0 on the board from any player.
NBA DFS value plays for Wednesday, March 4
Jeremy Lin, $4,100, Evan Turner, $5,500, Trey Burke, $4,500 — Lin’s performance last game pushed him to the top of my list. turner is second and Burke is third. There are some good mid-range values at the position too, including Mo Williams, $7,000, Ricky Rubio, $7,800, Deron Williams, $6,600, and Isaiah Thomas, $6,200. It looks like Spencer Dinwiddle is going to eat into Reggie Jackson’s playing time, but for the most part, when a talented player struggles, it presents opportunity. Turner and Thomas both missed value last game so they won’t be as widely owned as usual.
When you pay up, target Russell Westbrook, $11,500, first. He just gets triple-doubles. Ty Lawson, $7,200, Chris Paul, $10,200, and Steph Curry, $9,600 are always in play.
Avery Bradley, $5,600, Rodney Stuckey, $5,400, Wesley Matthews, $5,600 — Bradley, like his PG teammates above, was bad last game, but I expect him to reach value today and think people may stay away. I have Matthews in most of my lineups and Stuckey in a few. they are both playing well and have high floor/ceiling profiles. This list could have gone on for a while. I would also recommend looking into Lou Williams, $4,800, if Kyle Lowry doesn’t play or will be limited, J.R. Smith, $5,600, Will Barton, $4,000, Danny Green, $4,200, Will Barton, $4,000 and Gerald Henderson, $4,900.
If you want to pay a little more, I have to recommend Victor Oladipo, $6,600. He gets a decent SG matchup against Phoenix and if Tobias Harris doesn’t play Oladipo will have to carry a significant scoring load.
James Harden, $10,500, DeMar DeRozan, $7,200, and Khris Middleton, $6,200, should also be considered.
P.J. Tucker, $5,700, Nicolas Batum, $5,500, Danilo Gallinari, $5,300, James Johnson, $4,700, Andre Iguodala, $4,100 — I’m going with Tucker and Gallinari almost exclusively when I’m looking for value at SF tonight.Both of them have good matchups — Gallinari has a good matchup whether he ends up in the 2, 3, or 4 spots tonight so I’ve got him in my best lineups.
Pay up for LeBron James, $10,400, (duh). You could also target Rudy Gay, $7,600 and if you want to go just a bit higher than the value guys, you could target Josh Smith, $6,500.
Ed Davis, $4,800, Andrea Bargnani, $4,500, Kevin Garnett, $3,600, Kenneth Faried, $5,100 — I could add some other guys to this list — Donatas Motlejunas, $4,900, Ersan Illyasova, $4,400, Jae Crowder, $4,900, Louis Amundson, $3,400 — but I’m only using the four I listed. If you find a good reason to use the other guys, don’t hesitate. Faried is the starting center. He struggled March 1, but bounced back with 14 points and 14 boards last night. I expect the double-doubles to continue in his new role.
Pay up for LaMarcus Aldridge, $9,100. You could go a little higher than the value guys and get Nerlens Noel, $6,500, or Markieff Morris, $6,200. Serge Ibaka is probably a little overpriced at $8,000, but he has one of the best matchups of the night. Anthony Davis, $10,400, might play tonight. If he plays he must be considered. The Pistons have given up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season.
Enes Kanter, $5,900, Nikola Pekovic, $5,500, Alex Len, $5,600, Roy Hibbert, $4,800, Gorgui Dieng, $5,300 — I have Kanter in most of my lineups. The 76ers have given up the most fantasy points to centers this season and Kanter is one of the best values on the board considering his price and recent performance. It’s a pretty perfect storm. Pekovic has been limited due to injury. Dieng would benefit if Pekovic can’t play.
Pay up for DeMarcus Cousins, $9,700, DeAndre Jordan, $9,000, Al Jefferson, $7,800, Marc Gasol, $7,500, Nikola Vucevic, $8,700, Andre Drummond, $7,700 and Rudy Gobert, $6,700. Hassan Whiteside is a little expensive at $8,300, but he gets the Lakers, who have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season.
Good luck tonight and every night.